Over two years after Boko Haram attacked the UN headquarters
in Abuja, the question of whether the United States should designate them as a Foreign
Terrorist Organisation has returned.
African Arguments has published a good assessment of the situation by Christopher O’Connor of the National Endowment for Democracy.
He weighs the pros and cons of such a designation; there is
a great desire from some quarters of Nigerian society for the US to do so, it
would be a marked gesture for the US to “call a spade a spade”.
But there has also been a concerted lobbying attempt form
foreign observers to hold off on making a full declaration of FTO status. These
observers say, and O’Connor agrees, that
it will make a peace settlement harder.
Last year the US Department of State compromised. Instead of
putting full FTO status before Congress (which Congress would have likely approved),
it placed sanctions on key Boko Haram and splinter group Ansaru leaders as individuals.
Congress is now looking to raise thequestion of FTO designation again, after another spate of violence.
But I think the African Arguments piece has missed a key point about FTO designation.
On the face of it, its hard to see why Boko Haram aren't on the list already. If organisations
like Kahane Chai and Aum Shinrikyo are on it, why would the Obama administration shy away from Boko Haram?
Could it really have been that the objections of a well meaning group of Nigeria watchers was sufficient to
prevent the White House pursuing Foreign Terrorist Organisation designation
for Boko Haram?
The US Department of State might have had to
listen to the wishes of another party who has a say in this –the Nigerian government
themselves.
Why would the Federal Government of Nigeria object to the US designating Boko
Haram as a Foreign Terrorist Organisation?
As O’Connor says, FTO designation is not just a matter of
calling a spade a spade. It is a legal definition that triggers a list of
things that would suddenly come under the purview of the US Congress, among
them is tight restrictions on international funding of the group.
Its not hard to see why the Government will not be entirely enthusiastic about this renewed question of FTO designation. What effect would it have on the government's plan for an "amnesty" for Boko Haram? The plan is along the same lines as it abated militants in the oil producing south, ie shovel cash at them and hope the problem will go away.
Wouldn't it scupper it completely?
Many people have questioned if this amnesty will be effective in its stated aims. They warn the river of cash could be diverted. But with a serious split in the ruling party troubling the PDP as the 2015 elections loom, who's to say that the stated aims are what they say they are?
The Nigerian government really hasn't had a lot to say on the record about Foreign Terrorist Organisation status.
Its not hard to see why the Government will not be entirely enthusiastic about this renewed question of FTO designation. What effect would it have on the government's plan for an "amnesty" for Boko Haram? The plan is along the same lines as it abated militants in the oil producing south, ie shovel cash at them and hope the problem will go away.
Wouldn't it scupper it completely?
Many people have questioned if this amnesty will be effective in its stated aims. They warn the river of cash could be diverted. But with a serious split in the ruling party troubling the PDP as the 2015 elections loom, who's to say that the stated aims are what they say they are?
The Nigerian government really hasn't had a lot to say on the record about Foreign Terrorist Organisation status.
Last year, in one of the only public pronouncements on the FTO matter by a Jonathan-administration insider, then Ambassador
to the US Adebowale Adefuye indicated to the Nigerian media that the Federal Government
itself was resisting the designation.
Reports quoted him as saying designation might “add to
Nigerians woes when travelling through international airports”.
Longtime watchers of Nigerian politics know this is a
kind of dog-whistle phrase. Something that might impede travelling through airports
is certainly eye-catching to Nigeria’s big men.
Designation of FTO status would clearly necessitate closer
scrutiny of financial flows in and out of Nigeria. This would not only be in
connection with Boko Haram specifically, but almost certainly have to take in Nigeria in general.
Put it this way:
The question is not what effect designation would or would
not have on Boko Haram.
The real question is: “who is it moving the most suspect money
in and out of Nigeria; Boko Haram or… who?”
